Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 142.688824 167.403108 197.364100 237.095438 289.576200 3.583407e+02 458.575792
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 110.982942 140.203833 179.967424 240.610297 336.100075 4.920510e+02 797.634300
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 91.314377 120.328178 162.591150 232.980103 357.990486 5.995830e+02 1216.930336
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 83.548952 114.475958 162.526593 249.898634 426.359091 8.425022e+02 2390.895886
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 73.391825 102.871758 150.462719 241.830644 442.611298 9.892602e+02 3820.101009
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 66.969091 95.925628 144.435314 242.752170 478.739438 1.235335e+03 7500.371191
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 61.239497 89.207856 137.447334 239.597348 503.797803 1.488694e+03 16017.260452
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 59.078098 88.070210 140.143229 257.561239 597.478631 2.231311e+03 142998.626300
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 58.717069 89.912979 148.693883 291.887248 772.998947 4.228765e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 54.804206 84.887946 142.760380 288.690892 814.896660 5.556544e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 52.099131 81.767593 140.230049 293.801773 898.162679 8.443867e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 49.023672 77.631582 134.939506 289.836733 939.453474 1.166818e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 46.001841 73.574158 129.835098 286.929335 997.296324 1.844246e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 43.702642 70.726584 127.098618 290.881546 1106.473302 4.029168e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 40.817847 66.448815 120.512159 280.814366 1121.194973 6.659366e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.049775 66.290580 123.414216 303.096530 1406.511884 3.008328e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 37.645888 62.589479 117.353765 292.444202 1418.460645 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 36.050702 60.416899 114.740276 293.658567 1549.286798 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 34.357591 57.902811 110.967838 289.503681 1626.963495 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 33.974019 58.096009 114.027311 313.255381 2113.244818 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 34.291175 59.811408 121.350846 359.256007 3282.610516 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 32.866731 57.589136 117.751414 354.939202 3518.541790 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 31.892025 56.291584 116.547904 361.844876 4134.281940 NaN NaN